Climate Variability and Change—Hydrological Impacts (Proceedings of the Fifth FRIEND World Conference held at Havana, Cuba, November 2006), IAHS Publ. 308, 2006, 350–355.


 

Interactions between large-scale climate and river flow across the northern North Atlantic margin

 

DANIEL G. KINGSTON1, DAVID M. HANNAH1, DAMIAN M. LAWLER1 & GLENN R. McGREGOR2

 

1      School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK

dgk366@bham.ac.uk

2      Department of Geography, Kings College London, London WC2R 2LS, UK

 

Abstract To assess the nature of hydrological sensitivity to climatic change a clear understanding of the cascade of hydroclimatological processes from atmosphere–surface–runoff is necessary, yet this is poorly defined for the northern North Atlantic. This research gap is addressed through a composite analysis of large-scale climatic controls on monthly high and low river flow across this region for 1968–1997. Analyses are structured using hydrological regions defined by cluster analysis, and focus on the month of November. High river flow in all regions is associated with more maritime climatic conditions, driven in northern Europe by a stronger Atlantic pressure gradient and wind-speeds. In eastern North America, high river flow is linked to the opposite conditions. This is suggestive of a positive (negative) relationship between European (North American) river flow and the North Atlantic Oscillation. Additionally, inverse climatic associations between northern European hydrological regions (north versus south) appear linked to the Scandinavian pattern.

 

Key words climate–river flow linkages; composite analysis; hierarchical cluster analysis; North Atlantic Oscillation; northern North Atlantic; Scandinavian pattern