Calibration and Reliability in Groundwater Modelling: From Uncertainty to Decision Making
(Proceedings of ModelCARE’2005, The Hague, The Netherlands, June 2005). IAHS Publ. 304, 2006. pp.123–129.Assessing contaminant mass flow rates obtained by the integral groundwater investigation method by using the Virtual Aquifer approach
S. BAUER & O. KOLDITZ
Chair of GeoSystemsResearch, Centre for Applied Geosciences, University of Tübingen, Sigwartstrasse 10, D-72076 Tübingen, Germany
sebastian.bauer@uni-tuebingen.de
Abstract Contaminant mass flow rates originating from a contaminant source zone provide a basis for quantifying the environmental impact and may thus play an important role in assessing natural attenuation as a remedial or management option for contaminated aquifer cleanup. A reliable quantification of the contaminant mass flow rate is thus sought. The integral groundwater investigation method provides a possibility for estimating mass flow rates by using long-term pumping tests. This work focuses on the performance and reliability of this method in heterogeneous aquifers and under "realistic" conditions, representative of a typical site investigation. The Virtual Aquifer method is used for study. The results show that the method is mainly influenced by the hydraulic flow regime near the control plane, where uncertainty in hydraulic conductivity or estimated hydraulic gradient may severely influence the mass flow rate obtained. Determination of the average concentration along the control plane is much less uncertain.
Keywords
integral groundwater investigation method; mass flow rates; monitoring strategy; uncertainty assessment